removing the model spec error

TheEconomist · Aug 3, 2020 · bf2182b · bf2182b
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commit bf2182b
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Showing 4 changed files with 2 additions and 2 deletions.
diff --git a/scripts/model/poll_model_2020 b/scripts/model/poll_model_2020
diff --git a/scripts/model/poll_model_2020.stan b/scripts/model/poll_model_2020.stan
@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ transformed parameters {
   vector[N_state_polls] logit_pi_democrat_state;
   vector[N_national_polls] logit_pi_democrat_national;
   //*** construct parameters
-  mu_b[:,T] = cholesky_ss_cov_mu_b_T * raw_mu_b_T * mu_b_T_model_estimation_error + mu_b_prior;  
+  mu_b[:,T] = cholesky_ss_cov_mu_b_T * raw_mu_b_T + mu_b_prior;   // * mu_b_T_model_estimation_error 
   for (i in 1:(T-1)) mu_b[:, T - i] = cholesky_ss_cov_mu_b_walk * raw_mu_b[:, T - i] + mu_b[:, T + 1 - i];
   national_mu_b_average = transpose(mu_b) * state_weights;
   mu_c = raw_mu_c * sigma_c;

diff --git a/scripts/model/poll_model_2020_no_mode_adjustment b/scripts/model/poll_model_2020_no_mode_adjustment
diff --git a/scripts/model/poll_model_2020_no_mode_adjustment.stan b/scripts/model/poll_model_2020_no_mode_adjustment.stan
@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ transformed parameters {
   vector[N_state_polls] logit_pi_democrat_state;
   vector[N_national_polls] logit_pi_democrat_national;
   //*** construct parameters
-  mu_b[:,T] = cholesky_ss_cov_mu_b_T * raw_mu_b_T * mu_b_T_model_estimation_error + mu_b_prior; 
+  mu_b[:,T] = cholesky_ss_cov_mu_b_T * raw_mu_b_T  + mu_b_prior; // * mu_b_T_model_estimation_error
   for (i in 1:(T-1)) mu_b[:, T - i] = cholesky_ss_cov_mu_b_walk * raw_mu_b[:, T - i] + mu_b[:, T + 1 - i];
   national_mu_b_average = transpose(mu_b) * state_weights;
   mu_c = raw_mu_c * sigma_c;