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Adding a new model
Models currently in use are in the models directory. All the information needed to make a new forecast can be found in data, which is updated weekly before new forecasts are made. This includes rodent and weather data files. model_metadata.yaml
includes information that can be used to ensure that your model's forecast information matches other models forecasting the same data at the same time.
Forecasts generated by each of the models in models are saved in the tmp directory, before being combined into a single file, used to build ensemble forecasts, saved in the predictions directory, and archived. For your model to be included in this process, it must meet specific standards. It must generate forecasts with specific columns names, saved to a file in tmp that ends in [modelname]forecasts.csv
. It must also generate a list of AIC values, also with specific column names, saved to a file in tmp named [modelname]forecasts_model_aic.csv
. See the Forecast file format wiki page for more details.